<> on October 19, 2009 in Santa Clarita, California.

What a great year for movies 2013 turned out to be: Veteran filmmakers and actors doing some of their best work ever, exciting newcomers whose careers will be especially inspiring to follow and the prospect that 2014 might just be as strong.

This weekend’s Academy Awards will be the 85th edition of the Oscars, an awards show that is not without its fair share of controversies. This year, more than any other in recent memory, there are no clear frontrunners in many of the categories, including the elusive Best Picture. Will it be new sci-fi classic Gravity, or caper American Hustle, or period drama 12 Years a Slave? There’s a case to be made for all nine nominees, and even a handful of films that didn’t get nominated, and categories in which we wish there could be a three-way tie. Here’s a look at who TCP staffers think will pick up all the awards on Sunday, March 2, at the Oscars, hosted this year by Ellen DeGeneres.

Best Picture: American Hustle; Captain Phillips; Dallas Buyers Club; Gravity; Her; Nebraska; Philomena; 12 Years a Slave; The Wolf of Wall Street.GRAVITY

Will win: Gravity
Could win: 12 Years a Slave
Should win: American Hustle
Snubbed: Inside Llewyn DavisRadina Papukchieva

Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Could win: Gravity
Should win: The Wolf of Wall Street 
Snubbed: Inside Llewyn DavisChris Hanna

Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity; Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave; Alexander Payne for Nebraska; David O. Russell for American Hustle; Martin Scorsese for The Wolf of Wall Street.

cuaron_gravity__131227031741Will win: Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
Could win: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
Snubbed: The Coen Brothers for Inside Llewyn Davis – RP

Will win: Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
Could win: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Alfonso Cuaron
Snubbed: Paul Greengrass for Captain Phillips, Jean-Marc Vallée for Dallas Buyers Club – CH

Best screenplay/adapted: Before Midnight (Richard Linklater, Julie Deply, Ethan Hawke); Captain Phillips (Billy Ray); Philomena (Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope); 12 Years a Slave (John Ridley); The Wolf of Wall Street (Terence Winter)

Will win: John Ridley for 12 Years a Slavecaptain-phillips01
Could win: Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope for Philomena
Should win: Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy and Ethan Hawke for Before Midnight
Snubbed: Abdellatif Kechiche, Ghalia Lacroix for Blue is the Warmest Colour –  RP

Will win: Billy Ray for Captain Phillips
Could win: John Ridley for 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Linklater, Delpy and Hawke for Before Midnight
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best screenplay/original: American Hustle (Eric Warren Singer, David O. Russell); Blue Jasmine (Woody Allen); Dallas Buyers Club (Craig Borten, Melisa Wallack); Her (Spike Jonze); Nebraska (Bob Nelson).

Her1

Will win: Spike Jonze for Her
Could win: Eric Warren Singer, David O. Russell for American Hustle
Should win: Spike Jonze for Her
Snubbed: Noah Baumbach for Frances Ha – RP

Will win: Spike Jonze for Her
Could win: Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell for American Hustle
Should win: Spike Jonze for Her 
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best actress, lead: Amy Adams (American Hustle); Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine); Sandra Bullock (Gravity); Judi Dench (Philomena); Meryl Streep (August: Osage County).

Blue-Jasmine-2013-Movie

Will win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Could win: Sandra Bullock for Gravity
Should win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Snubbed: Julie Delpy for Before Midnight – RP

Will win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Could win: No one. But Amy Adams has some momentum and this could be one of Judi Dench’s last nominations.
Should win: Cate Blanchett
Snubbed: Emma Thompson for Saving Mr. Banks, Adele Exarchopoulos for Blue is the Warmest Colour  – CH

Best actor, lead: Christian Bale (American Hustle); Bruce Dern (Nebraska); Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street); Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave); Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club).

THE WOLF OF WALL STREET

Will win: This is a very bold statement, but I’m gonna take a risk: Leonardo DiCaprio. The Academy owes it to him, and he was in every single frame of The Wolf of Wall Street.
Could win: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club
Should win: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street
Snubbed: Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis – RP

dallas

Will win: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club
Could win: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Ejiofor or Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street
Snubbed: Tom Hanks for Captain Phillips and Oscar Isaac for Inside Llewyn Davis – CH

Best actress, supporting: Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine); Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle); Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave); Julia Roberts (August: Osage County); June Squibb (Nebraska).

Will win: Another bold bet, but I really think Jennifer Lawrence is going to win the gold for the second year in a row,americanhustle this time for American Hustle. With such a dynamic ensemble cast, they need to get at least one acting award and this is the one.
Could win: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
Should win: both Lawrence and Nyong’o deserve it equally; this is the toughest category to predict.
Snubbed: Carey Mulligan for Inside Llewyn Davis– RP

Will win: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
Could win: Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle
Should win: Nyong’o or Julia Roberts, who does some of her best work ever in August: Osage County
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best actor, supporting: Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips); Bradley Cooper (American Hustle); Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave); Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street); Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club).

letoWill win:Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Could win: Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Snubbed: This is a pretty fair category; everyone who deserved a nomination was nominated. – RP

Will win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Could win: Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Barkhad Abdi for Captain Phillips because I love the idea of a first-ever knockout performance being rewarded.
Snubbed: Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks, but it’s Leto’s anyway. – CH

Best animated feature: The Croods; Despicable Me 2; Ernest & Celestine; Frozen; The Wind Rises.

Will win: Frozen
Could win: The Wind Rises
Should win: The Wind Rises
Snubbed: worst year in animation that I’ve seen in awhile – RP

Will win: Frozen; this is a return to Disney’s ’90s heyday in terms of quality, to say nothing of the behemoth the film has become at the box office.
Could win: The Wind Rises, because Miyazaki has said this would be his final film, and it’s a great way to bow out.
Should win: Frozen is the best Disney movie in a long time; The Wind Rises is a great last-hurrah for a master animator.
Snubbed: Monsters University wasn’t great, but definitely better than The Croods and Despicable Me 2, right? – CH

Best foreign-language film: The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium); The Great Beauty (Italy); The Hunt (Denmark); The Missing Picture (Cambodia); Omar (Palestine).

The-Great-Beauty-02

Will win: The Great Beauty
Could win: The Hunt
Should win: The Great Beauty
Snubbed: Blue is the Warmest Color – RP

Will win: The Great Beauty
Could win: The Hunt or Broken Circle Breakdown certainly have enough buzz to win it
Should win: The Great Beauty and Omar were phenomenal
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best editing: American Hustle (Alan Baumgarten, Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers); Captain Phillips (Christopher Rouse); Dallas Buyers Club (Martin Pensa, John Mac McMurphy [pseudonym of director Jean-Marc Vallée]); Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón, Mark Sanger); 12 Years a Slave (Joe Walker).

Will win: Gravity
Could win: 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Gravity
Snubbed: n/a – RP

Will win: Gravity
Could win: Captain Phillips
Should win: Captain Phillips or American Hustle
Snubbed: Spring Breakers – CH

Best cinematography: The Grandmaster (Philippe Le Sourd); Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki); Inside Llewyn Davis (Bruno Delbonnel); Nebraska (Phedon Papamichael); Prisoners (Roger Deakins).

Will win: GravityGravity-tether-is-broken
Could win: The Grandmaster
Should win: Gravity
Snubbed: Sean Bobbitt for The Place Beyond the Pines – RP

Will win: Emmanuel Lubezki for Gravity
Could win: Phedon Papamichael for Nebraska
Should win: Roger Deakins for Prisoners
Snubbed: Sean Bobbitt for 12 Years a Slave – CH

Best original score: The Book Thief (John Williams); Gravity (Steven Price); Her (William Butler, Owen Pallett); Philomena (Alexandre Desplat); Saving Mr. Banks (Thomas Newman).

Will win: Gravity
Could win: Philomena
Should win: Gravity
Snubbed: Inside Llewyn Davis – RP

Will win: Steven Price for Gravity
Could win: William Butler, Owen Pallett for Her
Should win: Steven Price for Gravity
Snubbed: Hans Zimmer’s 12 Years a Slave score – CH

Best original song: “Alone Yet Not Alone” (Alone Yet Not Alone) [DISQUALIFIED]; “Happy” (Despicable Me 2); “Let It Go” (Frozen); “Moon Song” (Her); “Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom).

Will win: “Let it Go”
Could win: “The Moon Song”
Should win: “The Moon Song”
Snubbed: “Young and Beautiful,” Lana del Rey from The Great Gatsby – RP

Will win: “Let It Go” from Frozen. It’s such a great song and a wonderful throwback to the Disney musicals of yore. And co-writer Robert Lopez will be the 12th person ever to EGOT.
Could win: “Ordinary Love” is the Golden Globe winning song by U2, and “Happy” had a neat video initiative by Pharrell Williams, who is having a great year. Can’t discount the awards push “Happy” is experiencing; has anyone not uploaded their lip-synched version to YouTube yet?
Should win: “Let It Go”
Snubbed: “Please Mr. Kennedy” from Inside Llewyn Davis  – CH

Best sound editing: All Is Lost; Captain Phillips; Gravity; The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug; Lone Survivor.

Will win: Gravity
Could win: Captain Phillips
Should win: Gravity
Snubbed: The Place Beyond the Pines– RP

Will win: Gravity
Could win: Captain Phillips
Should win: Gravity
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best sound mixing: Captain Phillips; Gravity; The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug; Inside Llewyn Davis; Lone Survivor.

inside_llewyn_davisWill win: Inside Llewyn Davis
Could win: Gravity
Should win: Inside Llewyn Davis
Snubbed: The Great Gatsby– RP

Will win: Gravity
Could win: Captain Phillips
Should win: Captain Phillips
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best visual effects: Gravity; The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug; Iron Man 3; The Lone Ranger; Star Trek Into Darkness.

Will win: Gravity
Could win: Star Trek: Into Darkness
Should win: Gravity
Snubbed: n/a – RP

Will win: Gravity
Could win: Iron Man 3
Should win: Gravity
Snubbed: Pacific Rim. Way more than Transformers with a brain and heart. – CH

Best costume design: American Hustle; The Grandmaster; The Great Gatsby; The Invisible Woman; 12 Years a Slave.

Will win: The Great Gatsbycareymulligan_2550464b
Could win: The Invisible Woman
Should win: The Great Gatsby or American Hustle
Snubbed: Her – RP

Will win: The Great Gatsby
Could win: 12 Years a Slave
Should win: The Great Gatsby
Snubbed: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug and Her – CH

Best production design: American Hustle; Gravity; The Great Gatsby; Her; 12 Years a Slave.

i.0.s-great-gatsby-sketches-scenes-ss

Will win: The Great Gatsby
Could win: 12 Years a Slave
Should win: The Great Gatsby
Snubbed: Inside Llewyn Davis – RP

Her_ProductionDesign

Will win: Her
Could win: The Great Gatsby
Should win: Her 
Snubbed: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – CH

Best makeup and hairstyling: Dallas Buyers Club; Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa; The Lone Ranger.

Will win: Dallas Buyers Clubjennifer lawrence amy adams american hustle
Could win: this category is some sort of inside joke
Should win: Dallas Buyers Club
Snubbed: I find it unbelievable that American Hustle isn’t nominated. The cast’s hair is half of their performance, if not more.  – RP

Will win: The Lone Ranger
Could win: Jackass Presents Bad Grandpa
Should win: Write-in entry for American Hustle
Snubbed: American Hustle – CH

Best documentary feature: The Act of Killing; Cutie and the Boxer; Dirty Wars; The Square; 20 Feet from Stardom.

Will win: The Act of Killing
Could win: Cutie and the Boxer
Should win: The Act of Killing
Snubbed: Stories We Tell – RP

WEK_ActofKilling_0718

Will win: The Act of Killing
Could win: The Square
Should win: The Act of Killing
Snubbed: Blackfish, Stories We Tell – CH

Best documentary short: CaveDigger; Facing Fear; Karama Has No Walls; The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life; Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall.

Will win: The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Could win: n/a
Should win: n/a
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best animated short film: Feral; Get A Horse!; Mr. Hublot; Possessions; Room on the Broom.

Will win: Get a Horse!
Could win: Possessions
Should win: Room on the Broom
Snubbed: n/a – CH

Best live-action short film: Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me); Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything); Helium; Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?); The Voorman Problem.

Will win: Just Before Losing Everything
Could win: Helium, The Voorman Problem
Should win: Just Before Losing Everything
Snubbed: n/a – CH

About The Cafe Phenomenon

"The Cafe Phenomenon" refers to a situation, specifically in a cafe, where you are sitting with a friend and engaging in conversation with them, but you suddenly find yourself unable to listen because the background noise of the cafe distracts you from what they are saying (the background noise could be any thing: the gossip at the next table for example). It happens that, from time to time, in certain contexts the background noise is stronger and more defined than our personal and private one on one conversations. Our blog, made up of a group of friends from Concordia's journalism program, can serve as the background noise penetrating the intimate discussions of our virtual cafe dwellers (hopefully adding insight, relevant coverage, and interesting ideas). Or it can be the friend with whom you are deep in conversation. This, our dear readers, we leave to you.

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